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Dev will die before PM. A good technical PM can get the coding done just with a good AI assistant.
Original thought ideation and figuring out what to do and why is literally the #1 thing a PM does that AI may never be able to do like a human. Also, im going to be real. You should make PMs your friend because the main risk of displacement in the short term is a PM choosing to leverage one of 3rd party APIs for building the product in leiu of building it in house.
More so to use a sweat shop in India to built the product. Cheaper and less complaining from devs.
MFLEX, the functions you listed other than ideation are program mgr or scrum master role, not Product manager.
Fewer? Yes. Due to AI? No.
Fewer PMs - a lot if the tactical work can be automated leaving the remaining PMs to focus on strategic work. For a short while at least. Zero engineers. All code writing will be automated. Soon.
Try zero engineers lol. Even Twitter wasn't spared
PM’s are pretty useless even today lol
I think AI will act more as a research and validation tool for the PM. But I definitely think the count of PMs would reduce
There will be fewer PMs but not because of AI. Good PMs will always be needed.
How? In what way would AI supplant PMs?
It's almost there. All the stuff that genAI and other tools can do now: Product ideation, nagging engineers about status updates, coordinate standups and automated note taking, generating nice PowerPoint presentations from prompt. Just need a genAI tool to take credit for bumping X business metric up Y% and promote it so it doesn't piss off the wrong people but gets noticed by management. Maybe some AI avatar that falls under the DEI umbrella like "lilmiquela".
Lmao about DEI. But can’t AI replace everyone then? Including devs?